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The “Run Ri” Phenomenon: China’s Middle Class Escape to Japan

by 지식과 지혜의 나무 2025. 9. 9.
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Surge in Chinese Migration to Japan


The population of Chinese residents in Japan has been rapidly growing, reaching roughly 870,000 by the end of 2024 – about 2.6 times the figure in 2000 . This makes Chinese nationals the largest foreign community in Japan. Analysts project that at the current pace, the number of Chinese living in Japan could surpass 1 million by 2026 . Many of these newcomers are students and wealthy individuals seeking a safe haven, reflecting a notable shift from earlier waves of Chinese immigrants who were often laborers or exchange students. In fact, the recent influx includes a sizable contingent of young people on student visas as well as affluent professionals and investors hedging against uncertainties in China .

What Does “Run Ri” Mean?


“Run Ri” (潤日) is an Internet-coined term that refers to the trend of Chinese people “running” to Japan. The phrase combines the character run (潤) – a Chinese character pronounced rùn that literally means “to moisten” but whose pronunciation sounds like “run” in English – with “Ri” (日), the character for Japan . During Shanghai’s harsh COVID lockdown in spring 2022, Chinese netizens repurposed run as slang for “run away for a better life”, giving rise to “润学 (Runxue),” the sarcastic “science of running away” .  “Run Ri” specifically denotes “running to Japan”, as Japan emerged as a favored destination amid this broader escape movement. In essence, Run Ri captures the growing craze among disillusioned Chinese to seek refuge and opportunity in Japan.

Why China’s Middle Class Is Leaving


Multiple factors are driving China’s upper-middle class and wealthy to consider emigration. In recent years, China’s political clampdowns and economic anxieties have intensified. Under President Xi Jinping, policies emphasizing socialist ideology and “common prosperity” have increased uncertainty for private businesses and affluent individuals . Many in China’s middle class felt alarmed by the restrictive measures during the Zero-COVID campaign (2021–2022), such as citywide lockdowns that tightened state control over daily life and information . This period — exemplified by Shanghai’s two-month lockdown — left people feeling “trapped” amid economic slowdown and unpredictability at home . Key motivations fueling this exodus include:
• Preserving Wealth: Concern that crackdowns or economic instability in China could threaten assets, prompting the wealthy to move assets abroad for security .
• Children’s Future: A desire to secure better educational opportunities and a freer environment for their children, away from intense pressure and censorship in China  .
• Personal Freedoms and Safety: Seeking an escape from political surveillance and restrictions on speech; some are simply tired of the ever-tightening social controls and want an environment with greater personal liberties .
• Hedging Against Uncertainty: Emigrating (or obtaining residency elsewhere) as a “backup plan” – an insurance policy should conditions worsen further in China .

In short, the push factors are largely about escaping a perceived downward trajectory in China’s political and economic climate. As journalist Takehiro Masutomo observed, this new wave of emigrants is distinctly motivated by asset protection, education, and freedom – unlike earlier generations of Chinese abroad who often left mainly for education or jobs .

Why Japan? The Appeal of a Safe Haven


Amid various overseas options, Japan has become the unexpected safe haven of choice for many of these Chinese “runaways.” Several compelling advantages make Japan stand out:
• Cultural and Linguistic Familiarity: Japan is in the East Asian cultural sphere, using thousands of the same Chinese characters (kanji), which eases integration . Living in Japan feels less foreign to Chinese migrants compared to Western countries, helping them adapt more quickly.
• Established Chinese Communities: There are long-standing Chinese diasporas in Japan (from Chinatowns in Yokohama/Kobe to newer enclaves in Tokyo), so newcomers can rely on existing networks for business and social support . This softens the landing and provides a sense of community.
• Safety and Stability: Japan offers a high degree of public safety, clean governance, and social stability. It is seen as politically free and stable relative to China – without the authoritarian oversight – yet geographically close enough to feel secure in the same region . Crucially, Japan imposes no overt discrimination against Chinese residents in law, and anti-Asian hate crimes are far rarer than those recently seen in some Western countries .
• High Quality of Life and Education: From clean cities and reliable infrastructure to excellent schools, Japan promises a comfortable life. Many Chinese parents are attracted by Japan’s education system; top universities like the University of Tokyo and Waseda now host thousands of Chinese students. (At some Japanese art colleges, roughly 70% of all international students are Chinese, reflecting the strong education draw .)
• Affordability and Economic Opportunities: A long era of low interest rates and a weak yen have made Japan’s cost of living and real estate relatively affordable for those bringing in wealth from China . In fact, property in Japan is often cheaper than in China’s big cities, and unlike in China, foreigners can own land freehold in Japan, making it attractive for investment. Japan’s mature economy also offers diverse investment opportunities without the intense capital controls of China.
• Easier Residency Pathways (Until Now): Japan has, until recently, maintained accessible visa programs for students, skilled workers, and investors. Notably, the “Business Manager” visa allowed foreign entrepreneurs to reside in Japan long-term if they invested about ¥5 million (≈$45k) or hired 2 employees – a relatively low bar by global standards . This policy essentially opened a door for well-off Chinese to obtain residency by starting a business (even a small or symbolic one). The result was a surge in investor visas; by end of 2024 around 41,600 people held business-manager visas, and over half were Chinese nationals . (Some agencies in China even advertised services to set up a company in Japan for as little as ¥5 million to facilitate emigration.)

Another reason Japan rose to favor is the diminishing appeal of other countries. The United States, once the top choice for Chinese emigrants, became harder to access and less welcoming in recent years – especially during the Trump-era MAGA nationalist wave and COVID-related anti-Asian sentiment . Chinese families who might have gone to the U.S. or Canada are increasingly looking to Japan as a safer, closer alternative. Similarly, while places like Singapore attracted wealthy Chinese, Singapore’s small size and limited housing/education capacity make Japan’s larger society and economy a more sustainable destination for the long term .

Profile of the “Run Ri” Migrants

The new wave of Run Ri migrants differs markedly from earlier Chinese immigrants in Japan. They are predominantly urban elites and middle-class families from China’s major cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, etc.), rather than rural laborers. Many are well-educated professionals or entrepreneurs in their 30s, 40s, and 50s who have enough financial means to relocate abroad. A common pattern is that affluent individuals sell off property or assets in China and reinvest that capital into Japanese real estate or businesses as a ticket to residency . They often purchase high-end apartments – for example, luxury high-rise condominiums in Tokyo neighborhoods like Toyosu, Shinjuku, or Minato-ku are popular choices for wealthy Chinese buyers .

Politically, these new migrants tend to be disillusioned with the Chinese government. Unlike some earlier Chinese expat communities that were pro-Beijing, the Run Ri cohort largely harbors cynicism or outright negative views of China’s current leadership . They are not political dissidents per se, but their decision to leave signals a loss of confidence in China’s direction. Many continue to maintain businesses or professional ties in China – shuttling between Tokyo and Shanghai, for instance – but want the security of a base in Japan and an option to settle permanently if needed  . Notably, while this group is smaller in absolute number than the mass labor migrations of the past, they wield outsized economic clout. Their financial resources and high-profile presence (in business, academia, etc.) give them a strong voice within the Chinese diaspora in Japan .

Tokyo’s skyline now features luxury high-rises favored by wealthy Chinese “Run Ri” migrants. Many of these immigrants choose upscale districts like central Tokyo’s Minato Ward – an area dotted with embassies, international schools, and high-end shops – creating mini enclaves of Chinese elites. In such areas, real estate agents report that Chinese buyers frequently pay in cash and have driven up property prices. Indeed, Chinese investment has revitalized some neighborhoods and even regional towns: from new condos in Tokyo to aging hot-spring resorts in rural Japan being bought and refurbished with Chinese capital  . For example, in Yamanashi Prefecture’s old Isawa hot springs area, Chinese companies have acquired about a quarter of the hotels, bringing an influx of tourists and money . Similar trends are seen in Hokkaido’s ski resorts and other tourist hubs. While this injection of foreign capital provides a boost to local economies (preventing “ghost towns” in depopulated areas), it is also fueling concerns about speculative buying and cultural erosion.

Impact and Tensions in Japan

The Run Ri boom is already reshaping aspects of Japanese society, bringing both opportunities and tensions. On the positive side, the influx of Chinese students and investors contributes to Japan’s economy and soft power. Chinese students fill classrooms and boost university enrollments; they also support industries like test prep schools, real estate (through rent), and consumer spending. Many local businesses – from language schools in Takadanobaba to Chinese restaurants and import grocery stores in Tokyo – thrive on this growing Chinese customer base  . In regional Japan, Chinese-funded rehabilitation of resorts and enterprises has helped create jobs and preserve services in towns that were otherwise declining. Some Japanese, especially in rural areas, cautiously welcome the creation of new “Chinatowns” as preferable to seeing their hometowns fade away.

However, the rapid rise of Chinese immigration has also sparked backlash and public anxiety in Japan. In metropolitan centers like Tokyo and Osaka, there is growing chatter about an “invasion” of Chinese capital and people. Local residents have voiced fears about overcrowding, property price spikes, and cultural influence. For instance, in Tokyo’s Bunkyō Ward – known for its top schools – long-time residents have noted an influx of Chinese families, with mixed reactions. While communities benefit from rejuvenation, some worry about competition for school slots and housing. Japanese media have reported on incidents of paper companies being set up by foreigners (primarily Chinese) to game the visa system, feeding perceptions of abuse. This has given political fodder to anti-immigration voices. In fact, in a July 2025 election, a small opposition party running on an anti-immigration platform gained an unexpected surge of support, signaling a segment of voters unhappy with the status quo .

The Japanese government has responded by tightening immigration rules to address these concerns. A major change is coming to the Business Manager visa program that many Run Ri migrants used: from October 2025, applicants will need a much larger investment (at least ¥30 million, up from ¥5 million) and must hire at least one full-time local employee to qualify . This six-fold increase in capital requirement aims to weed out trivial or fraudulent business applications. Authorities opened public consultation on this rule change and have justified it as necessary to ensure foreign entrepreneurs genuinely contribute to Japan’s economy . The move illustrates Japan’s delicate balancing act – welcoming beneficial talent and capital on one hand, while assuaging public fears of unchecked immigration on the other. It remains to be seen how these stricter rules will impact the Run Ri wave; existing visa holders may need to scale up their businesses to renew, and new applicants will face higher barriers .

Outlook: A Lasting Trend?

The Run Ri phenomenon underscores a significant realignment in Asia’s migration patterns. For Japan, a nation long known for homogeneity and even negative population growth, the surge of affluent Chinese newcomers presents both a challenge and an opportunity. It injects youthful energy, investment, and global connections into Japanese society, but also tests Japan’s openness and integration capacity. Many experts believe that unless there are major changes in China’s domestic situation, this trend will continue or even accelerate . Every indicator – from discontent among China’s middle class to Japan’s relative attractiveness – suggests that Japan will remain a key sanctuary for Chinese seeking a better life abroad. As Takehiro Masutomo’s research highlights, these migrants are not coming to Japan blindly; they have carefully weighed the pros and cons of destinations worldwide and concluded that Japan offers a rare combination of safety, modernity, and proximity to home .

In the coming years, Japan will likely seek to harness the positives of the Run Ri influx (such as entrepreneurship and cultural exchange) while mitigating the negatives (speculation and social friction). The situation is evolving: new policies, community initiatives, and perhaps changing conditions in China will all influence how this “Run Ri” story unfolds. What’s clear is that a new chapter in the Japan–China relationship is being written – not through high-level diplomacy, but through tens of thousands of individual choices to make Japan a second home. “Run Ri”, once just online slang, has become a real-force phenomenon reshaping the lives of people in both nations  .

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